Speculations for 2010, Part 1: Oracle and Sun

At this time of year, with so many of the world's cultures celebrating holidays, winding down their daily work schedules, it's natural to think about the past year, try to gain a little more perspective on what actually happened and its import, then look forward to the coming year... As 2009 comes to a close, for me there are some events and trends that stand out, that I believe will affect what happens in 2010, along with situations that came about in 2009 that will reach some kind of resolution in 2010. In the latter category, of course, Oracle's acquisition of Sun is a primary example. The way things have played out, with the EU's decisions to delay approval of the acquisition, the global economy's slow recovery, the U.S. economy's even slower recovery (no recovery thus far if Federal spending is subtracted from the equation) -- by the time the acquisition goes through in 2010 (if indeed that happens), Oracle will be acquiring a vastly different Sun Microsystems from the one it bid on in April 2009. For this reason, that the acquisition will actually happen cannot be considered a certainty. Acquisition deals have fallen apart in the past when post-announcement events drastically change the value of the company that is to be acquired. Has Sun's actual value drastically changed since April? Sun Microsystems (JAVA) stock value over past year (from MarketWatch.com) Here's the Sun...

Date: December, 23 2009
Url: http://www.java.net/blog/editor/archive/2009/12/23/speculations-2010-part-1-oracle-and-sun

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